2012年2月5日星期日

红人网事

红人网事


眼神

Posted: 05 Feb 2012 01:26 AM PST

pic by yeahsky
pic, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

办公室里的一点春色

Posted: 05 Feb 2012 01:26 AM PST

pic by yeahsky
pic, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

婺源的鸡

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:56 PM PST

婺源的鸡 by yeahsky
婺源的鸡, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

星芒

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 08:03 AM PST

20100313011.jpg by yeahsky
20100313011.jpg, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.
两年前用Fujifilm FinePix S1500拍的,其实那个相机挺好,可惜被贼偷鸟。

含苞待放

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:53 AM PST

含苞待放 by yeahsky
含苞待放, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

两年前用富士长焦拍的

好看的紫甘蓝

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1000578 by yeahsky
P1000578, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

帅锅

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 08:04 AM PST

P1000585 by yeahsky
P1000585, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

跳舞呢

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1000592 by yeahsky
P1000592, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

吐舌头

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1000782 by yeahsky
P1000782, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

咋举起来的?

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010070 by yeahsky
P1010070, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

还是稠糖葫芦

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1000801 by yeahsky
P1000801, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

五颜六色

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010212 by yeahsky
P1010212, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

素描者

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010223 by yeahsky
P1010223, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

水墨

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010337 by yeahsky
P1010337, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

稠糖葫芦

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010454 by yeahsky
P1010454, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

糯米稀糖

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010459 by yeahsky
P1010459, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

橱窗姑娘

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010495 by yeahsky
P1010495, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

祈年殿雄姿

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:54 AM PST

祈年殿雄姿 by yeahsky
祈年殿雄姿, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

日上皇穹宇

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:54 AM PST

日上皇穹宇 by yeahsky
日上皇穹宇, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

花车巡游

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010071 by yeahsky
P1010071, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

大圣与喜羊羊

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010195 by yeahsky
P1010195, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

白鸽和女孩儿

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010258 by yeahsky
P1010258, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

童话

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010245 by yeahsky
P1010245, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

野战排

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010313 by yeahsky
P1010313, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

紫峰

Posted: 03 Feb 2012 07:51 AM PST

P1010354 by yeahsky
P1010354, a photo by yeahsky on Flickr.

2011年12月6日星期二

红人网事

红人网事


关于最近降低存款准备金率的一些看法

Posted: 06 Dec 2011 03:38 AM PST

美元利率下调 – 美元释放 – 美元下跌 – 流入中国投资 – 换成人民币成立独资公司 – 国际上人民币成为买入币种 – 国际上人民币升值 – 外资公司利用外贸途径赚取出口利润 – 形成贸易顺差 – 外资企业暂时不结汇走人 – 利润暂时留在中国境内 – 中国央行发行对等的人民币回收市场上的美金 – 形成外汇储备 – 央行发行的人民币流向国内市场 – 人民币对内贬值

如果外资企业结汇走人 – 人民币回流进中国央行 – 市场上人民币减少 – 人民币对内升值 – 央行外汇储备减少 – 美元外流 – 美元成为国际上买入货币 – 美元升值 – 人民币对外贬值

外资结汇走人的情况有两种:
1. 国际资本发现了比中国更好的投资环境,需要美元支持
2. 中国境内投资环境恶化,成本高企,不值得继续投资

中国央行购买美国国债的目的:
利用在中国境内暂存的美元现金(外汇储备),购买美国国债。美国国债代表了美国政府的国家信用,对于有一大笔不属于自己的钱的投资人来说,找不到比美国国家信用更加靠谱的投资品种了。

中国政府降低存款准备金率的原因:
因为外汇减少,回流进央行的人民币上升,市场上人民币减少,所以为了满足渴求资金的企业或银行的资金需求,需要降低存款准备金率。为什么不降息呢?因为降息的后果不是央行向商业银行投放货币,而是商业银行向市场投放货币(降息的话,存款无利可图,都不存钱了)。向市场投放货币虽然提升了市场的流动性,但会推高通货膨胀,得不偿失。短期之内不宜如此操作。

如此循环,看大趋势。